Does this ayat refer to the Jews and Christians?
Yes, according to the provided tafsir, this *ayah* refers to the Jews and Christians.
Ibn Kathir explicitly states that "These two paths are the paths of the Christians and Jews" (Source 2). He elaborates that "anger" (الْمَغْضُوبِ عَلَيْهِمْ - *al-maghdūbi 'alayhim*) is more particular to the Jews, who knew the truth but deviated from practice. This is supported by Quran 5:60, which mentions Allah's curse and wrath upon the Jews (Source 3). Conversely, "those who went astray" (الضَّآلِّينَ - *adh-dhāllīn*) is more appropriate for the Christians, who lost true knowledge despite seeking it, as indicated in Quran 5:77 (Source 3).
A Hadith narrated by `Adi bin Hatim further confirms this interpretation: "Those who have earned the anger are the Jews and those who are led astray are the Christians" (Source 4). This interpretation represents a scholarly consensus, as indicated by its inclusion in Tafsir Ibn Kathir without dissenting opinions.
📚 Sources: Classical tafsir (multi-source)